Former President Donald Trump is currently leading among independent voters in polls, with Vice President Kamala Harris, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, in second place.
Harris has garnered the support of more than the 1,976 delegates necessary to secure the nomination.
Before Biden’s withdrawal, a new HarrisX poll conducted on July 19-21 revealed that Trump was leading Harris by eleven points, 51-40%, among prospective November voters. In a startling development for Democrats, Trump and Harris were tied at 45% among Hispanic voters.
The Hispanic voter population was divided between men and women.
Male Hispanic voters favored Trump by 58-36%, while female Hispanic voters favored Harris by 52-34%. Voters in suburban areas supported Trump by eleven percentage points, or 51-40%.
According to a Quinnipiac poll conducted on July 19-21, Trump maintained a 14-point lead over Harris among independent voters, with 46-32% of the vote.
If two additional candidates were included: independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, a Public Policy Polling survey conducted July 17-20 indicated that Michigan voters preferred Trump over Harris by five points, or 46-41%.
If two additional candidates were included, Trump led Harris by four points in North Carolina, 48-44%; in Arizona, Trump led Harris by 46-40%; and in Pennsylvania, Trump led Harris by 46-44% with four candidates.
Furthermore, Harris produced significantly more unfavorable results than Trump. In Arizona, Trump was two points below the favorable mark, while Harris was a staggering 17 points below the favorable mark (Favorable/Unfavorable).
In Pennsylvania, Trump was four points below the favorable mark, while Harris was a whopping 16 points below.
In North Carolina, Trump was four points below the favorable mark, while Harris was 10 points below.
In Michigan, Trump was eight points below the favorable mark, while Harris was 12 points below.
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