A recent poll indicates that, with the major exception of independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the 2024 primary and general election field is still the same almost one month after the start of the war between Israel and Hamas, which has exposed intense tensions between Democrats and Republicans.
The most surprising finding was that Robert Kennedy Jr., who has now announced his intention to run as a third party candidate, could get as much as 22 percent of the vote in the 2024 presidential race.
In a hypothetical matchup between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, 47% of voters support Biden, while 46% support Trump.
This represents a virtual tie and falls within the poll’s 2.4 percentage point margin of error, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released on Wednesday.
But in a general election contest involving Kennedy, Biden’s support falls to 39%, Trump’s to 36%, and Kennedy’s to 22%, indicating that Kennedy—who initially entered the race as a Democrat—would hurt Trump more than Biden in a three-way contest.
The GOP front-runner, Trump, maintained his lead over his competitors with 64% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters supporting him.
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley received 8% of the vote, while Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) received 15%.
Three other candidates garnered three percent of the vote: Vivek Ramaswamy, former governor of New Jersey Chris Christie, and Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC).
In a Democratic primary, Biden won with 77% of the vote, defeating Rep. Dean Phillips (D-MN) with 6%, political pundit Cenk Uygur with 2%, and Marianne Williamson with 8%.
The survey also indicates that Trump’s popularity is not declining despite his opponents’ criticism of his remarks about Hezbollah and his foreign policy positions.