A New York Times poll released on Tuesday indicated that former President Trump has established a substantial advantage in the presidential election in Florida and Texas, just one month prior to Election Day.
The Times and Siena College conducted the survey, which revealed that Trump was leading in his native state of Florida by 13 percentage points over Vice President Harris.
In Texas, the former president is also six percentage points clear of Harris.
The results may undermine the notion that the enthusiasm surrounding Harris’s campaign since she succeeded President Biden as the frontrunner in July could potentially influence Florida and Texas, which is a belief held by certain Democrats.
Previously, Florida was classified as a battleground state; however, Trump captured the state in 2016 and 2020, and it has shifted toward the Republican party in recent years.
Since 1976, Texas has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate.
In the same poll, Harris maintained a three-point advantage over Trump on a national scale.
The Senate contests in both Florida and Texas are also on the November ballot, and polling has indicated that the races are becoming increasingly competitive in the final weeks of the campaign.
From September 29 to October 6, the Times/Siena poll was conducted among 3,385 electors, including 622 voters in Florida and 617 voters in Texas.
The complete sample has a margin of error of 2.4 percentage points.
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