A survey in Iowa that is commonly considered to be the “gold-standard” sparked a flurry of criticism on Monday, predicting that President Joe Biden would perform poorly in battleground states throughout the Midwest.
According to a recent Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll conducted by J. Ann Selzer’s Selzer & Company, former president Donald Trump received 50% of likely voters’ support, which is 18 points more than that of Joe Biden.
Just 9% of voters backed independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Social media users were prompted to analyze the results of the latest survey, which also showed Trump widening his lead following his conviction in a hush-money trial and Biden with a net approval rating of -39 in June.
The poll was promoted by former conservative pollster Frank Luntz.
Here’s how the same pollster fared in 2020.
Their final poll in October had Trump up +7, and he won by +8. https://t.co/Ww0AMjd4rI
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) June 17, 2024
Luntz also cited polling data from the same surveyor from 2020, which showed Trump leading Biden by 1 point in June, tying him in September, and overtaking him by 7 points in October.
The national polls have often shown Trump and Biden to be neck and neck. Next week, in their first debate of the 2024 election cycle, they are set to square off.
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