Joe Biden’s supporters are happy to tell you who they hope wins the Republican primary because it’s the only thing they’ve talked about since entering the White House.
On Tuesday night in New Hampshire, the White House will be pulling for Donald Trump.
President Biden’s team believes that Trump becoming the presumptive Republican nominee for president would give a much-needed jolt of energy to voters and grassroots donors who don’t want to see Trump back in the White House.
Biden’s backers see Tuesday as a win-win: Either Trump dominates Nikki Haley in New Hampshire and the general election campaign effectively begins Wednesday — or Trump gets caught in a drawn-out primary at least until South Carolina’s GOP contest on Feb. 24.
The president’s campaign has internal data indicating that most of the undecided voters Biden is targeting don’t think Trump will be the Republican nominee because they haven’t tuned into an election that’s more than nine months away.
That’s led Biden’s team to believe the dynamics of the campaign will change significantly once those voters realize it really will be a Biden-Trump matchup in November, as CNN first reported.
New Conservative Post reported that some conservatives fear the Republicans walked into a trap, writing, “Fair or not, Democrats have more reasons to indict and convict Donald Trump before the election of 2024. A recent large national survey of American adults says that only 20 percent of voters will vote for former President Donald Trump if he is convicted of any of the felonies he’s currently facing.
It may be the only way to save Joe Biden, but the lawfare against Trump appears to be working. Trump’s national lead over the incumbent president has vanished now that the former president has taken a commanding lead in the GOP primary.”
Politico also revealed, now that the former president is on the brink of sealing the nomination, that Trump “has a problem” regarding the general election. “There’s a whole swath of the Republican electorate and a good chunk of independents who appear firmly committed to not voting for him in November if he becomes the nominee.
But 2024 is different. Trump is not making his pitch to voters as a first time candidate. He is a known quantity who is being judged by the electorate not for the conduct of his current campaign so much as his time in office. And that, political veterans warn, makes it much harder for him to win back the people he’s alienated, including those once willing to vote Republican.
The data supports the idea that there are problems ahead for the former president. Even before the Iowa survey, a New York Times/Siena College poll found that — including independents who say they lean toward one party over the other — Biden had slightly more support among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (91 percent) than Trump did among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents (86 percent).
That’s far from a majority of Republicans preparing to pass on Trump in November. But in a close election, it could be enough to tip the scales for Democrats.”
Trump’s best chance might be having a third party candidate in the race. Polling shows that if RFK, Jr. runs, he could beat Biden.
Trump is expected to win by double digits over Nikki Haley tonight in New Hampshire, effectively taking control of the nomination.